Thursday 24 September 2026 · Edition of the day

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The Skeptic's Daily

The day's biggest stories, taken apart. For each one: what is actually established, what is only asserted, the questions worth asking — and a plausibility score for the central claim, given everything currently known.

Stories
1
Average plausibility
92%
How to read the score
It rates how well the core claim is evidenced — not how important the story is, nor whether it is good or bad news.
01BusinessGlobal

Federal Reserve raises rates to 3.75%–4% under new chair Warsh

The Fed's first hike in over three years signals persistent inflation concerns even as officials describe the economy as resilient.

The Federal Open Market Committee voted unanimously on 16 September 2026 to raise the federal funds rate by a quarter point to a target range of 3.75%–4%. New chair Kevin Warsh said inflation had been 'too high for too long' and cited Middle East tensions and tariffs as contributing factors. Updated projections point to a possible further increase before year end. The decision comes weeks ahead of the US midterm elections.

What holds up

  • ✓The FOMC's official statement and vote count (12–0) are published by the Federal Reserve.
  • ✓The new rate range was reported consistently by Reuters, CNBC and the New York Times.

What doesn't yet

  • ?Whether the hike will meaningfully curb inflation, rather than reflecting political and geopolitical pressures, is interpretation, not settled fact.
  • ?How much tariffs versus the Middle East conflict drove inflation is disputed among economists.

Ask before you share

  • →Will the Fed proceed with another rise this year as projections suggest?
  • →How much of current inflation stems from tariffs versus energy-market disruption?
  • →Will further hikes test Warsh's independence from White House pressure ahead of the midterms?

Sources & original reporting

  1. [1]Federal Reserve · Published 16 Sept 2026 · federalreserve.gov
  2. [2]Reuters · Published 16 Sept 2026 · reuters.com