Tuesday 20 October 2026 · Edition of the day

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The Skeptic's Daily

The day's biggest stories, taken apart. For each one: what is actually established, what is only asserted, the questions worth asking — and a plausibility score for the central claim, given everything currently known.

Stories
2
Average plausibility
80%
How to read the score
It rates how well the core claim is evidenced — not how important the story is, nor whether it is good or bad news.
01Conflict & SecurityAfrica

Kenyan cult leader found guilty of murdering 190 children and one adult

Three outlets report Paul Mackenzie's conviction over 191 deaths.

BBC News, The Guardian and DW report that Kenyan preacher Paul Mackenzie was found guilty of murdering 190 children and one adult. The Guardian also reports convictions of about 30 others and says prosecutors accused the sect of ordering followers to starve themselves and their children.

What holds up

  • ✓All three outlets agree on Mackenzie's conviction and the total of 191 victims.
  • ✓The victim breakdown is consistent: 190 children and one adult.

What doesn't yet

  • ?The supplied extracts do not include the judgment, sentencing details or any defence response.
  • ?The convictions of about 30 other people appear only in The Guardian's extract.

Ask before you share

  • →What findings and evidence does the written judgment set out?
  • →What sentences and appeal proceedings, if any, follow the verdict?

Sources & original reporting

  1. [1]BBC News · Published 19 Oct 2026 · bbc.co.uk
  2. [2]The Guardian · Published 19 Oct 2026 · theguardian.com
  3. [3]DW · Published 19 Oct 2026 · dw.com
02Conflict & SecurityAfrica

Drone strike near Sudan market reportedly kills 80

The Guardian reports a deadly attack at a transport hub in al-Dibab, citing a witness account.

The Guardian reports that a drone strike near a market in al-Dibab, West Kordofan, killed 80 people on Sunday evening, mostly commuters catching rides home. A witness said the drone struck twice and that he helped bury 50 bodies, including his brother.

What holds up

  • ✓The supplied Guardian item identifies al-Dibab in West Kordofan as the attack location.
  • ✓It includes an attributed witness account of burials, although this does not independently establish the full toll.

What doesn't yet

  • ?No second outlet or casualty register corroborates the reported total of 80 in the supplied material.
  • ?The extract does not identify who operated the drone or establish responsibility.

Ask before you share

  • →What records or additional witnesses substantiate the total death toll?
  • →Has responsibility for the strike been established through verifiable evidence?

Sources & original reporting

  1. [1]The Guardian · Published 19 Oct 2026 · theguardian.com